CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten presents new polls with “atrociously awful” numbers for Congressional Democrats that do not portend well for the midterms. Enten reported it is a coin toss if Schumer takes a leadership position in the next Congress. “Chuck Schumer has been the Senate leader for the Democrats for a long period of time before I even came to CNN, and I’m not quite sure that he will stay it,” Enten said. “Take a look at where the people who are putting their money where their mouth is. Chance that Schumer wins the next Dem Senate leader election. Back on December 1 — look at this — it was two and three, according to Kalshi prediction market. Then drops to 56 percent in February. And then look at where we are right now. Just 50 percent — a coin toss, a coin toss. If I had a coin, I would toss it up in the air. A coin toss when it comes to Schumer actually winning the next Dem Senator leader election.”

JOHN BERMAN, CNN ANCHOR: All right, we’ve been talking about the new CNN poll, which was a really low approval rating for President Trump, just a 35 percent approval rating for the president. You see this and you would think Democrats might be doing well. People might approve of the way Democrats are doing, particularly Democrats. You might think that. But you’d be wrong. With us now, CNN chief data analyst, Harry Enten. And so, you know, bad news for Republicans hasn’t really been good news for Democrats. HARRY ENTEN, CNN CHIEF DATE ANALYST: No, no, not at all, at least when it comes and you isolate Democrats. I mean, these numbers are just atrociously awful for the Democrats here. I mean, just take a look here. Congressional Dems have the right priorities. Look at this. Overall, 74 percent, nearly three and four say no, just 25 percent overall say yes. You might say, OK, well, at least Dems like Democrats. Uh-uh, not the case. Look at this. The majority of Democrats are independents who lean Democrats. Look at this. 55 percent say no. Congressional Democrats do not have the right priorities. And then you just see a minority, 45 percent of Democrats, say that congressional Democrats have the right priorities. This, to me, just jumps out at the screen because it screams primary challenges all over the map, and it says that even if Democrats don’t like Donald Trump, they don’t like their own party either when it comes to Congress and overall, I mean, my goodness gracious. BERMAN: So this is sort of like Democrat on Democrat crime here. What’s overall approval among Democrats of their leaders? ENTEN: Yes, OK, so, you know, you’d speak about Democrat on Democrat crime, and I want to know how unusual what we’re seeing right now about how Democrats feel about Democrats in Congress is. Take a look at this. This is a trend line going through the years, midterm elections in which there’s a GOP president. Look at this, in 2006, Dems net approval of congressional Democratic leaders was plus 28. You go back to last midterm, look at that, plus 19, very much on the positive side of it. The bottom has fallen out. The bottom has fallen out minus four points. That is Democrats, Democrats own net approval of their own congressional leaders. Even Democrats don’t like their own leaders when it comes to Congress. And overall, of course, the numbers are just absolutely awful. So Democrat on Democrat crime, absolutely. This to me screams, again, primary challenges across the map. And it screams to me, hey, when it comes to those next leadership elections, maybe something might be choking. BERMAN: It also just means we have to maybe look at these midterms differently because this is a different prism. We haven’t seen this type of thing before. We don’t know what impact that might have. ENTEN: That’s exactly right. And there are a lot of folks have been looking at the generic congressional ballot and wondering why Democrats don’t have a larger lead. And this is a big reason why I would think. BERMAN: OK, so there’s Hakeem Jeffries in the House. Chuck Schumer is the Senate Minority Leader. What might this mean for Chuck Schumer? What are some of the predictions about whether he can stay as a Democratic leader? ENTEN: Chuck Schumer has been the Senate leader for the Democrats for a long period of time before I even came to CNN, and I’m not quite sure that he will stay it. Take a look at where the people who are putting their money where their mouth is. Chance that Schumer wins the next Dem Senate leader election. Back on December 1 — look at this — it was two and three, according to Kalshi prediction market. Then drops to 56 percent in February. And then look at where we are right now. Just 50 percent — a coin toss, a coin toss. If I had a coin, I would toss it up in the air. A coin toss when it comes to Schumer actually winning the next Dem Senator leader election. And we’ve seen a number of Senate candidates Democrats across the map saying we don’t want any part of Chuck Schumer to be the next leader. And there’s a big reason why that is and it’s because, at this point — look at this — this minus four. Even Democrats don’t approve of their own congressional leaders. BERMAN: These numbers bear watching over the course of the summer and into November, to be sure. Harry Enten, thank you very much. ENTEN: Thank you.

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